Why 60/40 Retirement Strategy Fails with Low Bond Yields

August 27, 2020
Chance of HNW client meeting 4% withrawal rate in retirement at diffrent E/B allocations

Financial advisors need to implement better retirement strategies in a low-yield environment or risk losing HNW clients

A large bond allocation has long been the staple diversification tool for RIAs trying to manage market risk in their equity portfolios—especially for clients nearing retirement. In high yield environments, this is an excellent tool. RIAs can either hold the bonds to maturity and benefit from the high fixed income yield, or they can sell the bonds as yields revert to the mean and decrease thereby allowing for capital appreciation on the assets. In a high yield environment, bonds are great assets by themselves, independent of the diversification benefits they provide.

In a low yield environment, the value proposition is the opposite. The low yields on the asset don’t justify the AUM fees the RIA is charging on them. Furthermore, the high ordinary income taxes owed on bond gains makes the net after-tax, after-advisory fee yields for the client abysmal. In the current low-
yield environment we’re in, after the client pays taxes and the RIAs fees on these assets, the client actually makes significantly less for owning the asset and taking all the interest, credit, and liquidity risk than the RIA earns for just managing them.

After Tax, After Advisory Fee Client Bond Yields vs RIA AUM fees:

After Tax, After Advisory Fee Client Bond Yields vs RIA AUM fees:

In a low-yield environment, RIAs are making 3-5 times more money managing clients’ bond assets than the clients are actually making owning the assets and taking all the interest, credit, and liquidity risk.

On top of this if, interest rates revert to the mean and increase, clients will lose money on these bonds that will take them years or even decades to regain!

Modeling different composition of equity and bond portfolios show us that clients are better off utilizing a 100% equity portfolio than the traditional 60% equity/40% bond portfolio split.

Chance of HNW client meeting 4% withrawal rate in retirement at diffrent E/B allocations

As the table above shows, utilizing bonds as a means of portfolio diversification no longer makes mathematical sense in this low-yield environment for HNW clients.

The simulation results show a number of key findings:

  1. Clients have double the chance of meeting their retirement goals with a 100% equity portfolio than they do with a 60% equity portfolio/ 40% bond portfolio (42% vs 21%).
  2. The median after-tax, after-advisory fee return of the 100% equity portfolio is also 100 basis points higher than that of the 60/40 portfolio (2.65% vs 1.63%).
  3. Finally, for those who do manage to make it through retirement and have enough left over to pass on wealth to their heirs, clients with a 100% equity portfolio will be able to pass on nearly 2.4 times more than what their 60/40 portfolio counterparts would be able to ($3.1 million vs $1.3 million).

Note that the above modeling assumes that the bond yields are normally distributed. If we were to account for the fact the interest rates are at historic lows and over the long-term there will be mean reversion to higher yields (meaning larger upfront bond losses), the percentage of successful simulations for the 60/40 portfolio would have been significantly worse.

The impact of this mean reversion is not currently being accounted for in most financial modeling software, and further limits advisors ability to understand the true risk posed by allocating a large percentage of client assets to bonds in a low-yield environment.

Impact of selling 2% coupon rate bond and immediately buying 3% coupon bond

Effect of Mean Reversion in a Low-Yield Environment:

In a low-yield environment, upfront bond losses are more sensitive to an increase in interest rates. A small mean reversion of an increase in 1% can take bond portfolios years or decades to recover from.

The above table shows how long it would take of investing in bonds of various terms at the higher interest rate of 3% to make up for the initial upfront loss absorbed.

This mean reversion is not being accounted for in current financial modeling software thereby further limiting advisors ability to understand the true risks of a bond-heavy retirement strategy.

In order to replace the value that bonds have traditionally held for portfolios in higher yield environments, RIAs need to either focus on retirement plans and investment vehicles that minimize
taxes and interest rate/credit risk on those bonds or utilize other assets with low correlation to market and interest rate risk that provide better risk-adjusted returns.

If they don’t implement better strategies, clients will soon realize that they’re better off only having their financial advisor managing the equity portion of their portfolio.

Or even worse, they’ll take their entire portfolio to another financial advisor who is willing and able to implement better retirement strategies for them.

Want to learn more?

Read our article on 6 Financial Advising Strategies to Increase After-Tax, After-Advisory Fee Bond Returns for HNW Clients in a Low-Yield Environment

Rajiv Rebello

Rajiv Rebello

Author

Rajiv Rebello, FSA, CERA is the Principal and Chief Actuary of Colva Insurance Services. Colva helps family offices, RIAs, and high net worth individuals create better after-tax and risk-adjusted portfolio solutions through the use of life insurance vehicles and low-correlation alternative assets. He can be reached at [email protected].

Keep Reading

Hedge Fund Investments in PPLI: Benefits, Risks, and Due Diligence for PPLI Strategies

Hedge Fund Investments in PPLI: Benefits, Risks, and Due Diligence for PPLI Strategies

Hedge Fund Investments in PPLI: Benefits, Risks, and Due Diligence for Private Placement Life Insurance Strategies

Private placement life insurance (PPLI) has become an increasingly popular vehicle for high-net-worth individuals seeking to combine life insurance benefits with alternative investment strategies. Among the various investment options available within PPLI structures, hedge fund investments offer unique opportunities for portfolio diversification and enhanced returns. Understanding the benefits, risks, and due diligence requirements of hedge fund investments in private placement life insurance is essential for making informed decisions about this wealth management strategy.

## Understanding Hedge Fund Integration in PPLI Structures

Hedge fund investments within PPLI policies operate through carefully structured arrangements that maintain the insurance wrapper’s tax advantages while providing access to alternative investment strategies. These investments typically occur through dedicated funds or separately managed accounts designed specifically for insurance company separate accounts, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements governing private placement life insurance.

The structure allows policyholders to access hedge fund strategies that might otherwise be unavailable or less tax-efficient in direct investment formats. Insurance companies work with established hedge fund managers to create insurance-dedicated versions of their strategies, often with modified fee structures and enhanced liquidity provisions tailored to the insurance environment.

PPLI hedge fund investments can encompass various strategies including long-short equity, event-driven approaches, relative value strategies, and macro trading. The insurance wrapper provides a tax-deferred growth environment where hedge fund returns can compound without immediate tax consequences, potentially enhancing long-term wealth accumulation compared to direct hedge fund investments.

## Tax Advantages and Wealth Preservation Benefits

The primary benefit of hedge fund investments within PPLI lies in the tax treatment of returns generated by these strategies. Traditional hedge fund investments typically generate significant taxable income through short-term capital gains, dividend income, and interest income, all of which are taxed at ordinary income rates. Within the PPLI structure, these returns accumulate tax-deferred, allowing for more efficient compound growth over time.

Estate planning benefits represent another significant advantage of hedge fund PPLI investments. The death benefit proceeds pass to beneficiaries income tax-free, effectively transferring hedge fund returns without the tax burden that would apply to direct hedge fund investments. This feature proves particularly valuable for families seeking to transfer wealth generated by alternative investment strategies to future generations.

The ability to access policy values through loans without triggering taxable events provides additional flexibility compared to direct hedge fund investments. Policyholders can access liquidity based on their hedge fund investment performance without the immediate tax consequences associated with hedge fund withdrawals or redemptions.

## Enhanced Diversification and Return Potential

Hedge fund strategies within PPLI offer portfolio diversification benefits that extend beyond traditional stock and bond investments. Market-neutral strategies, for example, can provide returns with low correlation to equity markets, helping to reduce overall portfolio volatility while maintaining growth potential.

Alternative risk premia strategies accessible through PPLI hedge fund investments can capture returns from various market inefficiencies and behavioral biases. These strategies often provide steady returns with different risk characteristics than traditional investments, contributing to more balanced portfolio performance across various market conditions.

The ability to combine multiple hedge fund strategies within a single PPLI policy creates opportunities for further diversification. Policyholders can allocate among different hedge fund managers and strategies, creating a fund-of-funds approach within the insurance wrapper while maintaining the tax benefits of the PPLI structure.

## Liquidity Considerations and Management

Hedge fund investments traditionally involve lock-up periods and limited redemption windows that can restrict investor access to capital. PPLI structures often negotiate enhanced liquidity provisions with hedge fund managers, including shorter lock-up periods, more frequent redemption opportunities, or side-pocket arrangements for illiquid investments.

Policy loan features provide additional liquidity options that bypass traditional hedge fund redemption restrictions. Policyholders can borrow against their policy values, including those supported by hedge fund investments, without triggering hedge fund redemptions or violating lock-up provisions.

The insurance company’s role in managing hedge fund redemptions within PPLI policies helps coordinate liquidity needs across multiple policyholders. This pooling effect can sometimes provide better redemption terms than individual investors might achieve in direct hedge fund investments.

## Risk Assessment and Management Strategies

Hedge fund investments within PPLI carry specific risks that require careful evaluation and ongoing monitoring. Manager risk represents a primary concern, as hedge fund strategies often depend heavily on the skill and discipline of individual portfolio managers. Due diligence must focus on manager track records, investment processes, and risk management capabilities.

Operational risk assessment becomes critical when evaluating hedge fund managers for PPLI investments. The insurance wrapper adds additional operational complexity, requiring hedge fund managers to maintain proper reporting, compliance, and administrative capabilities to support insurance company requirements.

Concentration risk can emerge when PPLI policies become heavily weighted toward hedge fund investments or specific hedge fund strategies. Diversification across multiple managers, strategies, and asset classes helps mitigate this risk while maintaining the benefits of alternative investment exposure.

## Due Diligence Framework for Hedge Fund Selection

Effective due diligence for hedge fund investments in PPLI requires analysis of both investment merits and insurance-specific considerations. Investment due diligence should evaluate the hedge fund manager’s investment philosophy, process consistency, and historical performance across different market cycles.

Operational due diligence must assess the hedge fund manager’s ability to operate within the insurance environment, including reporting capabilities, compliance infrastructure, and experience with insurance company separate accounts. The manager’s willingness to modify fee structures or provide enhanced liquidity for insurance applications represents important considerations.

Third-party due diligence resources, including hedge fund research platforms and specialized consultants, can provide valuable insights into manager capabilities and operational strengths. Insurance companies often maintain preferred manager lists based on their own due diligence processes, providing additional filtering for PPLI hedge fund investments.

## Fee Structure Analysis and Cost Management

Hedge fund investments within PPLI typically involve multiple fee layers that require careful analysis to understand total investment costs. Management fees and performance fees charged by hedge fund managers represent the primary investment costs, often following traditional “2 and 20” structures or variations thereof.

Insurance company charges add additional costs to hedge fund PPLI investments, including mortality and expense charges, administrative fees, and surrender charges. Understanding the interaction between hedge fund fees and insurance charges helps evaluate the total cost of accessing hedge fund strategies through PPLI.

Fee negotiations for hedge fund investments in PPLI sometimes result in reduced costs compared to direct hedge fund investments. The pooled nature of insurance company separate accounts and long-term investment horizons can provide leverage for better fee arrangements with hedge fund managers.

## Performance Monitoring and Reporting

Hedge fund investments within PPLI require specialized monitoring and reporting capabilities to track performance and ensure alignment with investment objectives. Monthly performance reporting should include both gross and net returns, attribution analysis, and risk metrics specific to the hedge fund strategy employed.

Benchmark comparisons become important for evaluating hedge fund performance within PPLI, though appropriate benchmarks vary by strategy type. Hedge fund indices, peer group comparisons, and risk-adjusted performance measures help assess whether hedge fund investments are delivering expected value within the insurance wrapper.

Regular portfolio reviews should evaluate the ongoing suitability of hedge fund investments within the broader PPLI policy structure. Changes in market conditions, investment objectives, or hedge fund manager capabilities may necessitate adjustments to hedge fund allocations or manager selections.

## Regulatory Compliance and Reporting Requirements

Hedge fund investments within PPLI must comply with various regulatory requirements governing both insurance products and alternative investments. Investor control restrictions ensure that policyholders maintain appropriate distance from investment decisions to preserve favorable tax treatment under private placement life insurance regulations.

Anti-money laundering and know-your-customer requirements apply to hedge fund investments within PPLI, requiring proper documentation and ongoing monitoring of beneficial ownership and source of funds. These requirements may be more stringent than direct hedge fund investments due to the insurance wrapper.

Tax reporting for hedge fund investments within PPLI occurs at the insurance company level, simplifying tax compliance for policyholders while maintaining transparency regarding underlying investment performance and tax characteristics.

## Integration with Overall Wealth Management Strategy

Hedge fund investments within PPLI should align with broader wealth management and estate planning objectives rather than serving as isolated investment decisions. The insurance death benefit, tax deferral features, and liquidity options must work together to support overall financial goals.

Coordination with other investment accounts helps optimize asset location and tax efficiency across the entire investment portfolio. Hedge fund strategies within PPLI may complement traditional investments held in taxable accounts or retirement plans, providing diversification benefits while maximizing tax efficiency.

Regular strategy reviews ensure that hedge fund investments within PPLI continue to serve their intended purpose as circumstances change. Market conditions, tax law modifications, or personal financial situations may affect the optimal allocation to hedge fund strategies within the insurance wrapper.

## Future Considerations and Market Developments

The hedge fund industry continues to develop new strategies and approaches that may become available within PPLI structures. Emerging areas such as digital assets, ESG-focused strategies, and quantitative approaches may offer additional opportunities for PPLI hedge fund investments.

Regulatory developments affecting either hedge funds or private placement life insurance may impact the attractiveness or structure of these investments. Staying informed about regulatory changes helps ensure continued compliance and optimal strategy implementation.

Technology improvements in hedge fund operations and insurance administration may enhance the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of hedge fund investments within PPLI. These developments could expand access to hedge fund strategies or improve the overall economics of combining hedge funds with insurance wrappers.

Hedge fund investments within private placement life insurance represent a powerful tool for wealth accumulation and estate planning when properly implemented and managed. The combination of tax advantages, diversification benefits, and professional management creates opportunities for enhanced long-term wealth creation. However, success requires careful due diligence, ongoing monitoring, and integration with broader wealth management strategies. By understanding the benefits, risks, and requirements of hedge fund PPLI investments, high-net-worth individuals can make informed decisions about incorporating these strategies into their overall financial plans.

Comments

0 Comments

By Commenting, I agree to the Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy